【Theme 2】 Projection of Climate Change Impacts and Evaluation of Adaptation Options for Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries

Theme leader

Toshihiro Hasegawa (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization)

Outline

Collect data for future projections of climate change impacts on crops, vegetables, fruits, livestock production, forestry, and fisheries. Develop or improve methods or models that will be used for future projection. Conduct future projection of various items in high spatial resolution (1 km grid) by using common future climate change and socioeconomic scenarios of the S-18 project. List adaptation options for each item and quantify the effects of promising adaptation options. Carry out economic evaluation, such as calculating the amount of financial damage caused by impacts and the cost of adaptation measures. Nationwide evaluation will be carried out in the second year for some of the items in which research is advanced, and in the fourth year for all items followed by the last year’s activity of analysis and interpretation of the results and its outreach.

Goals

Collect data for future projections of climate change impacts on crops, vegetables, fruits, livestock production, forestry, and fisheries. Develop or improve methods for future projection. Conduct future projection of various items at a high spatial resolution (1-km grid) by using common future climate change and socioeconomic scenarios of the S-18 project. Quantify the effects of adaptation options and carry out economic evaluations, such as calculating the amount of financial damage caused by impacts, and the cost of adaptation measures.

Sub-theme structure

Sub-theme title	Sub-theme leader
2(1) Projection of Climate Change Impacts and Evaluation of Adaptation Options for Crops, Vegetables and Fruits	Tatsuo Hosono (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization)
2(2) Projection of Climate Change Impacts and Evaluation of Adaptation Options for Animal Production	Kouji Higuchi (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization)
2(3) Projection of Climate Change Impacts and Evaluation of Adaptation Options for Forestry	Yasumasa Hirata (Forest Research and Management Organization)
2(4) Projection of Climate Change Impacts and Evaluation of Adaptation Options for Fisheries	Hideaki KIDOKORO (Fisheries Resources Institute, Japan Fisheries Research and Education Agency)